from NYT Caroline Soler Polling researcher- July 7
Recent polling on the congressional generic ballot shows Democrats with a modest advantage. The party out of power typically gains ground in midterm elections, and these early surveys suggest this may be taking shape ahead of 2026. Democrats lead in the vast majority of recent polls, though by single-digit margins. However, with redistricting efforts underway in several states, the national vote share that Democrats need to retake the House will depend on the extent of these changes.
Generic congressional ballot questions ask voters which party’s candidate they would support if the 2026 election were held that day as well as those that ask which party voters would prefer to control Congress after the election.
Go to https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/polls/congressional-vote-2026.html
| Pollster | Sponsor | Margin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| New poll from
YouGov
conducted July 3 to 6 |
Economist | Democrat +3
|
|
| New poll from
Morning Consult
conducted June 29 to July 5 |
Democrat +3
|
||
| poll from
Talker Research
conducted June 25 to July 2 |
Scripps News | Democrat +9
|
|
| poll from
Focaldata
conducted June 26 to 30 |
Financial Times | Democrat +7
|
|
| poll from
YouGov
conducted June 26 to 29 |
Economist | Democrat +3
|
|
| poll from
ActiVote
conducted June 6 to 28 |
Democrat +5
|
||
| poll from
Morning Consult
conducted June 22 to 28 |
Democrat +4
|
||
| poll from
Big Data Poll
conducted June 26 to 28 |
Public Polling Project | Democrat +9
|
|
| poll from
Morning Consult
conducted June 26 to 28 |
Democrat +4
|
||
| poll from
J.L. Partners
conducted June 24 to 26 |
DailyMail.com | Democrat +8
|
