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We support Chino, Chino Hills, and South Ontario in Assembly Districts 52 and 55, State Senate Districts 20 and 29, and Congressional Districts 35 and 39
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An ambitious plan to reach 50 million American voters between now and Election Day. Together we’ll ask people to commit to vote, help them register, provide voter education and protection, and make sure they cast their ballot.
The DNC is committed to providing state parties and candidates at all levels with the information and tools they need to grow their base of support and build winning campaigns. With your help, we will invest in innovative solutions while building on the tried-and-true strategies of grassroots organizing.
Gone are the days when Democrats are unwilling to play in states or districts that are “too red.” We are organizing and competing everywhere to win elections in 2018 and beyond. Through our Every ZIP Code Counts program, the DNC increased its monthly investment to $10,000 to every state party across the country. We will be fighting to win seats — from the school board to the Senate — in communities across the country through an unprecedented commitment to grassroots organizing.
These programs are an effort to mobilize a record number of voters ahead of the midterms
SB 5 (Chapter 852, Statutes of 2017), De León.
ACA 5 (Resolution Chapter 30, statutes of 2017), Frazier.
ACA 1 (Resolution Chapter 105, statutes of 2017), Mayes.
ACA 17 (Resolution Chapter 190, Statutes of 2017), Mullin.
SCA 9 (Resolution Chapter 1, Statutes of 2018), Glazer.
SIGN UP HERE BY CLICKING ON THE LINK AND/OR DROP US A LINE AT email@example.com for the July 28 session to be held in San Bernardino! Featured speakers will be experts who will discuss strategic communications, speaking, and and help attendees practice campaign messaging when running for office! Breakfast and lunch served. Donations of $25 are welcome.
Models, of course, disagree on how grim the forecast is for the Republicans, so any given model should not be taken as the last word. But Seth Masket at Mischiefs of Faction cites a midterm model that illustrates how difficult the situation is for them. The model is a simple one that relies on just Presidential approval and growth in real per capita disposable income (RDI). What it says is this:
[The model] predicts Democrats will pick up 45 to 50 House seats this fall, and take over 15 to 20 state legislative chambers. A loss of just 24 House seats would flip House control to the Democrats….Most years, this model works fairly well. It predicted Democrats losing 46 House seats in 2010 (they lost 63), and it predicted Republicans losing 40 House seats in 2006 (they lost 31).
You can see in the chart above how this works, with Trump’s approval running a little over 40 percent and RDI growth around 1 percent in the last year. It’s apparent that moving Trump’s approval rating around a little bit at a given level of economic growth does not change the forecast much. Plus Trump’s approval rating have been bouncing around between 37 and 42 percent since early last April so it’s hard to see the kind of mega-spike that might really change things.
A huge increase in RDI growth seems unlikely also though, of course, anything is possible. But as Masket observes:
Even if RDI growth jumped to 3 percent…the model would still predict Republicans to lose 37 House seats, more than enough to lose control of the chamber, and 14 state legislative chambers.
So the fundamentals don’t look good for Team Red. But it’s just one model so should be treated with caution. After all, there are lots of other factors like the various structural advantages Republicans take into an election like this. But even those have been declining as Nate Cohn has pointed out, knocking a couple of points off of the GOP’s “thumb on the scales”. This includes the effects of anti-gerrymandering court decisions, Democratic fundraising and candidate recruitment and Republican retirements.
It’s a long time ’til election day. But the basic story continues to be a positive one for Democrats, as these data and the results of recent special elections suggest.
Many think the issue of sexual harassment — embodied in the #MeToo movement — will work to the advantage of Democrats in upcoming elections. A mid-December NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey gave the party a three to one advantage over Republicans on the matter. But it is hardly guaranteed to do so.
Views of sexual harassment and of gender issues generally differ sharply by age, sex and partisan allegiance — all of which create substantial unpredictability. The issue has the potential to accelerate the growing discontent among well-educated white women with the Republican Party. But it could also intensify hostility to the liberal agenda among conservatives, particularly white men, many of whom view women’s complaints of discrimination as “an attempt to gain advantage” in the workplace.
This complex dynamic is illuminated, for example, in the work of Kei Kawashima-Ginsberg, a psychologist at Tufts, who recently reported a growing divergence on gender issues between male and female voters under the age of 30.
In her paper, “How Gender Mattered to Millennials in the 2016 Election and Beyond,” Kawashima-Ginsberg found that in an election in which allegations of harassment and abuse against Donald Trump were central, support for the Democratic nominee dropped by 15 points from 2008 to 2016 among all young men between the ages of 18 to 29 (from 62 to 47 percent) and by 6 points among all women (from 69 to 63 percent). At the same time, turnout among young white men, many of whom supported Trump, shot up significantly.
“2016 saw the greatest number of votes cast by young white men in the past 12 years — markedly higher than their female counterparts,” Kawashima-Ginsberg wrote.
Text of this bipartisan approved bill here at this link: https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billNavClient.xhtml?bill_id=201720180SB1
The recall against our State Senator SD29 is unwarranted considering the following. In fact, he promoted a Constitutional amendment to assure the monies allocated would be spent on only the road repair projects.
This act shall be known, and may be cited as, the Road Repair and Accountability Act of 2017.